Andreas Forø Tollefsen

Senior Researcher

Research Interests

I currently research armed conflicts at the sub-national level using quantitative geospatial data, currently leading "CONMIG," investigating the heterogeneous impacts of violence on forced migration through mixed methods. I contribute to the TRUST project, studying refugees' impacts on host communities in the global south.

Andreas Forø Tollefsen
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News & events
Publications
Blog posts
Audio & video

Journal article

2025

Cover page Journal of Refugee Studies. Oxford University Press

Forced displacement and utilization of maternal health care services in host communities: micro-level evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa, 1986–2016

Journal article in Journal of Refugee Studies

Book chapter

2024

From uncertainty to policy: A guide to migration scenarios. n/a

Migration drivers across time and space: selected examples

Book chapter in From Uncertainty to Policy: A Guide to Migration Scenarios

Journal article

2025

Refugee journey infrastructures: Exploring migration trajectories from South Sudan to Uganda

Journal article in Population, Space and Place

Event

Tuesday, 27 Feb 2024 10:00–17:00 UTC+01

Attendees at the workshop, 28 February 2024, Makarere University, Kampala. . Photo: Eria Serwajja

Crossfire to Crossroads - Understanding Migration Decisions, Journeys, and Refugee-Host Interactions

The 'Crossfire to Crossroads' academic workshop focused on three critical areas of migration studies: the decision-making processes leading to migration, the experiences of migration journeys, and the dynamics between refugees and host communities.

News

Tuesday, 9 Jan 2024

Image of flood-affected persons generated by Stable Diffusion. Illustration: Creative ML OpenRAIL-M license

New PNAS Study Shows Conflict Aggravates Disaster Displacement

Study finds that illiberal political rule and armed conflict are linked to higher human displacement in major floods.

Recorded event

Tuesday, 21 Nov 2023 08:30–10:00 UTC+01

Kpalimé, Togo, West Africa. Photo: peeterv/Getty Images

01:25:28

What Shapes Refugee Journeys?

When studying refugees, what do we know about what happens between home country and host country? What constitutes a refugee journey and what influence refugees' decision making en route?

Report – external series

2023

Conflict-related determinants of migration

QuantMig Background Paper

Report – external series

2022

Climate and International Migration Flows: A Sensitivity Analysis of Gravity Model Specifications

QuantMig Background Paper

PRIO Blogs

Monday, 30 May 2022

Ukrainian refugees in April 2022. Pakkin Leung / CC BY 4.0 / Wikimedia Commons

Staying Rather Than Leaving? Displacement and Conflict-Exposure in Ukraine

The Russian invasion of Ukraine on 24 February has led to rapid and large-scale displacement. What do we know about the dynamics of conflict and mobility in Ukraine, and how does conflict exposure impact people’s decisions to stay or to go? Drawing on new survey data from Ukraine, we shed ...

News

Tuesday, 10 Dec 2024

Virtual book launch of 'From uncertainty to policy: A guide to migration scenarios' on International Migrants Day

Can migration be forecasted in today's unpredictable world? How can policymakers and scholars navigate inherent uncertainty, with robust and realistic models?

Journal article

2024

Education desires and conflict impacts in refugees’ decisions to leave

Journal article in Migration Studies

Event

Wednesday, 28 Feb 2024 09:00–16:00 UTC+01

CONMIG+TRUST conference, 28 Februrary 2024, Makerere University, Kampala. . Photo: Ace Policy Research Institute (APRI)

Intersecting Pathways - Understanding Migration Decisions, Journeys, and Refugee-Host Interactions

This seminar in Kampala, Uganda presents an opportunity for academics, practitioners, and policymakers to present and discuss migration-related issues, aimed at enriching our collective understanding

Event

Thursday, 15 Feb 2024 16:30–19:30 UTC+01

Living in Displacement: Ukrainian Experiences and Stories in Norway since February 2022

As two years are passing since the full-scale Russian invasion of Ukraine, and the resulting displacement of many people from Ukraine, we invite you to join us for an evening with Ukrainian food and music, storytelling and research-based presentations.

Journal article

2024

Societal determinants of flood-induced displacement

Journal article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences

News

Thursday, 2 Nov 2023

Conflict-related determinants of migration (QuantMig project background paper D.2.7).

What are 'conflict-related determinants of migration'?

How can we understand the observable variation in ways in which conflict 'leads to displacement'? How can the fact that while some people leave, many people also stay in conflict-affected areas be better explained?

PRIO Paper

2023

Migrant exposure and individual-level trust: First impressions from a systematic literature review

PRIO Paper

Current projects

Project

Jan 2021 –

Forced Migration and Social Unrest

Led by Eirin Haugseth.

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